Fire SeiryuuTier 3
at EU Nationals 2025
decks
1
(1.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
1-5-1
overall winrate
21.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
36.2%
avg ELO -6.9 per match
expected value
41.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
43.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1094
· median 1094
· range 1094–1094
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1253
Q3 1436
1584
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.8% | +4.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 14.3% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 28.6% | -16.0 |
| Water Genbu | 12.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.3% | -15.5 |
| Wind Allies | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.1% | -9.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.3% | +19.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Seiryuu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
